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THE STUDY OF MASS KILLING Since the 19th century various historians have investigated the number of deaths that could be attributed to warfare or ideology. In the 20th century Joel David Singer and Melvin Small analyzed conflicts and Singer argued in ''The Wages of War'', that a conflict with a particular death toll is statistically related to time of events. In recent years there has been an increasing belief among those who study conflict and fatalities related to it, that Civil War s in particular are related to measurable economic phenomenon, and the scale of conflict is related to the reach of these factors. Several researchers have adopted the term Democide to refer to fatalities caused by government intention, calling it "murder by government", and they argue that wars should be included with Genocide among totals of deaths caused by government action. Others, such as Gregory H. Stanton have adopted the term Politicide . He argues that there are 8 distinct phases to genocide or other mass killing: Classification, Symbolization, Dehumanization, Organization, Polarization, Preparation, Extermination and Denial. What he labels "Stage 7" conflicts are those with active killing, but that conflicts can cycle through Polarization, Preparation and Extermination repeatedly. His organization tracks killings since 1945 {Link without Title} . The field of published a 1991 paper entitled "The Post-Cold War World: Implications for Military Expenditure in the Developing Countries" which estimated 40 million deaths in the developing economies since World War II. ESTIMATES OF MASS KILLINGS Milton Leitenberg's estimate Milton Leitenberg, of the Center For International And Security Studies , published a 2003 paper which focused on the post war era, and gave very detailed estimates for all major conflicts between 1945 and 2000. His estimate for the total century is based on the following numbers:
Adding in a variety of other pogroms and civil wars, he comes to a final estimate of 216 million. This does not include what he calls "structural violence": deaths in under-developed nations because of crime, poverty, environmental degradation, disease, malnutrition not part of famine, contaminated water and lack of available medicine. He estimates that this reached 17 or 18 million per year by 2000. Matthew White's estimate Matthew White has conducted a study, based on figures quoted from a number of divergent and reliable sources to arrive at a conservative estimate of nearly 170 million lives lost to War and major atrocities in the last Century . Because fatality statistics are subject to a great deal of uncertainty in turbulent times, White has opted to conservatism in his reporting of Statistics . He also employs a commonly-used statistical strategem which forces extreme values at the upper and lower ends of the data field to cancel each other out, resulting in a value closer to the probable mean. Using existing data, White categorizes these twentieth century events according to most reliable fatality data. While "minor" atrocities and civil conflicts will add to the number, this table compiles those conflicts whose death tolls are close to or exceed half a million souls.
These figures are subject to the usual margins of error. They also include a number of collateral fatalities: civilian casualties of war, democide, famine, and other hardships caused by the social and economic disruption which results from large-scale conflict. For conflicts which began before 1900 or ended after 1999, only those deaths within the 20th century are included. See also List Of Wars And Disasters By Death Toll . EXTERNAL LINKS
Democracy, Peace; Power,Democide, and War] |